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1. Identity statement
Reference TypeJournal Article
Sitemtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br (namespace prefix: upn:3Q3U5H8)
Holder Codeisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identifier8JMKD3MGP3W34R/42EDDJ8
Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/05.05.11.34   (restricted access)
Last Update2020:05.05.11.34.01 (UTC) simone
Metadata Repositorysid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/05.05.11.34.01
Metadata Last Update2022:01.04.01.35.07 (UTC) administrator
DOI10.3390/geosciences10040135
ISSN2076-3263
Citation KeyRochaJúniorSiCoGoPiHe:2020:BiAsDr
TitleBivariate assessment of drought return periods and frequency in brazilian northeast using joint distribution by copula method
Year2020
Monthapr.
Access Date2025, Dec. 07
Type of Workjournal article
Secondary TypePRE PI
Number of Files1
Size4397 KiB
2. Context
Author1 Rocha Júnior, Rodrigo Lins da
2 Silva, Fabrício Daniel dos Santos
3 Costa, Rafaela Lisboa
4 Gomes, Heliofábio Barros
5 Pinto, David Duarte Cavalcante
6 Herdies, Dirceu Luís
Resume Identifier1
2
3
4
5
6 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JGTU
ORCID1 0000-0003-4654-8947
2 0000-0002-3185-6413
3
4
5
6 0000-0002-2872-8453
Group1
2
3
4
5
6 DIDMD-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
Affiliation1 Universidade Federal de Alagoas (UFAL)
2 Universidade Federal de Alagoas (UFAL)
3 Universidade Federal de Alagoas (UFAL)
4 Universidade Federal de Alagoas (UFAL)
5 Universidade Federal de Alagoas (UFAL)
6 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
Author e-Mail Address1 rrodrigo.junior@hotmail.com
2 fabricio.santos@icat.ufal.br
3 rafaelalisboac@gmail.com
4 heliofabio@icat.ufal.br
5 david.duarte@icat.ufal.br
6 dirceu.herdies@inpe.br
JournalGeosciences (Switzerland)
Volume10
Number4
Pagese135
Host Collectionurlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 upn:3Q3U5H8
History (UTC)2020-06-23 22:31:43 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020
2022-01-04 01:35:07 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020
3. Content and structure
Is the master or a copy?is the master
Content Stagecompleted
Transferable1
Content TypeExternal Contribution
Version Typepublisher
Keywordsmeteorological drought analysis
Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI)
archimedean copulas
probability distributions
AbstractThe Northeast region of Brazil (NRB) is the most populous semiarid area in the world and is extremely susceptible to droughts. The severity and duration of these droughts depend on several factors, and they do not necessarily follow the same behavior. The aim of this work is to evaluate the frequency of droughts in the NRB and calculate the return period of each drought event using the copula technique, which integrates the duration and severity of the drought in the NRB in a joint bivariate distribution. Monthly precipitation data from 96 meteorological stations spatially distributed in the NRB, ranging from 1961 to 2017, are used. The copula technique is applied to the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) on the three-month time scale, testing three families of Archimedean copula functions (Gumbel-Hougaard, Clayton and Frank) to reveal which model is best suited for the data. Averagely, the most frequent droughts observed in the NRB are concentrated in the northern sector of the region, with an observed duration varying from three and a half to five and a half months. However, the eastern NRB experiences the most severe droughts, lasting for 14 to 24 months. The probability distributions that perform better in modeling the series of severity and duration of droughts are exponential, normal and lognormal. The observed severity and duration values show that, for average values, the return period across the region is approximately 24 months. Still in this regard, the southernmost tip of the NRB stands out for having a return period of over 35 months. Regarding maximum observed values of severity and duration, the NRB eastern strip has the longest return period (>60 months), mainly in the southeastern portion where a return period above 90 months was observed. The northern NRB shows the shortest return period (~45 months), indicating that it is the NRB sector with the highest frequency of intense droughts. These results provide useful information for drought risk management in the NRB.
AreaMET
Arrangementurlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produçăo anterior ŕ 2021 > DIDMD > Bivariate assessment of...
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4. Conditions of access and use
Languageen
Target Filegeosciences-10-00135.pdf
User Groupsimone
Reader Groupadministrator
simone
Visibilityshown
Read Permissiondeny from all and allow from 150.163
Update Permissionnot transferred
5. Allied materials
Next Higher Units8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35
Citing Item Listsid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2021/01.01.17.20 - 20
sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21/2012/07.13.14.44.41 - 18
DisseminationPORTALCAPES; SCOPUS.
6. Notes
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