| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br (namespace prefix: upn:3Q3U5H8) | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/42JUDFL | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/06.02.12.03 (restricted access) | |||
| Last Update | 2020:06.02.12.03.31 (UTC) simone | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2020/06.02.12.03.31 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2022:01.04.01.35.10 (UTC) administrator | |||
| DOI | 10.1007/s00382-020-05212-7 | |||
| ISSN | 0930-7575 | |||
| Citation Key | ChouLGRMRTDPMCOMPS:2020:DoPrCl | |||
| Title | Downscaling projections of climate change in Sao Tome and Principe Islands, Africa  | |||
| Year | 2020 | |||
| Month | May | |||
| Access Date | 2025, Dec. 09 | |||
| Type of Work | journal article | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 5206 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Chou, Sin Chan 2 Lyra, André de Arruda 3 Gomes, Jorge Luís 4 Rodriguez, Daniel Andrés 5 Martins, Minella Alves 6 Resende, Nicole Costa 7 Tavares, Priscila da Silva 8 Dereczynski, Claudine Pereira 9 Pilotto, Isabel Lopes 10 Martins, Alessandro Marques 11 Carvalho, Luís Felipe Alves de 12 Onofre, José Luiz Lima 13 Major, Idalécio 14 Penhor, Manuel 15 Santana, Adérito | |||
| Group | 1 DIDMD-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 2 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 3 DIDMD-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 4 5 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 6 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 7 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 8 9 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR 10 CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 4 Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ) 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 6 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 7 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 8 Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ) 9 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 10 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 11 12 National Institute of Meteorology 13 National Institute of Meteorology 14 National Institute of Meteorology 15 National Institute of Meteorology | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 chou.chan@inpe.br 2 andrelyra1@gmail.com 3 jorgeluisgomes@gmail.com 4 drod.arg@gmail.com 5 minella.martins@gmail.com 6 nicole.resende@yahoo.com.br 7 priltavares@gmail.com 8 claudinedereczynski@gmail.com 9 isabelpilotto@gmail.com 10 marques.unifei@yahoo.com.br 11 lfalves.carvalho@gmail.com 12 limaonofre@gmail.com 13 idaleciomajor72@gmail.com 14 manuelpenhor@hotmail.com 15 aderitosantana@hotmail.com | |||
| Journal | Climate Dynamics | |||
| Volume | 54 | |||
| Number | 9/10 | |||
| Pages | 4021-4042 | |||
| Secondary Mark | A1_INTERDISCIPLINAR A1_GEOCIÊNCIAS A1_CIÊNCIAS_BIOLÓGICAS_I A1_CIÊNCIAS_AMBIENTAIS A1_BIODIVERSIDADE A2_ENGENHARIAS_I A2_ASTRONOMIA_/_FÍSICA B1_CIÊNCIA_DA_COMPUTAÇÃO | |||
| Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 upn:3Q3U5H8 | |||
| History (UTC) | 2020-06-02 12:03:31 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020-06-02 12:03:31 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020 2020-06-02 12:06:28 :: simone -> administrator :: 2020 2022-01-04 01:35:10 :: administrator -> simone :: 2020 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Keywords | Central Africa · Gulf of Guinea · Small Islands developing states · Downscaling · Eta model · Regional climate mode | |||
| Abstract | Sao Tome and Principe is a small insular African country extremely vulnerable to rising sea levels and impacts such as inundation, shore line change, and salt water intrusion into underground aquifers. Projections of climate change have considered coarse model resolutions. The objective of this work is to dynamically downscale the global model projections to 4-km resolution and to assess the climate change in the Sao Tome and Principe islands. The global climate projections are provided by the Canadian Earth System Model under two Representative Concentration Pathways greenhouse gas scenarios, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. The downscaling is produced by the Eta regional climate model. The baseline period is taken between 1971 and 2000, and the future climate period is taken between 2041 and 2070. The 2-m temperature simulations show good agreement with station data. The model simulates temperature more accurately than precipitation. The precipitation simulations systematically show underestimation and delay of the rainy and the dry seasons by about 1 month, a feature inherited from the global climate model. In the middle of the 21st century, projections show the strongest warming in the elevated parts of the Sao Tome Island, especially in February under RCP8.5. Warmer nights and warmer days become more frequent in the islands when compared with those in the present. While under RCP4.5, precipitation increases in the islands; under RCP8.5, it decreases everywhere in both islands. Heavy precipitation rates should increase, especially in the south-southwestern parts of the Sao Tome islands. Detailed spatial variability of the temperature and precipitation changes in the islands can only be revealed at very high spatial model resolution. Implications for the potential energy production from two major river basins are assessed in this work. | |||
| Area | MET | |||
| Arrangement 1 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > CGCPT > Downscaling projections of... | |||
| Arrangement 2 | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDMD > Downscaling projections of... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | chou_downscaling.pdf | |||
| User Group | simone | |||
| Reader Group | administrator simone | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft12 | |||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EUPEJL 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35 | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.06.18.03 - 57 sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2021/01.01.17.20 - 19 | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; AGU; COMPENDEX; SCOPUS. | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| update | ||||