%0 Book Section
%3 chou_projections.pdf
%4 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2019/04.23.16.56
%A Chan, Chou Sin,
%A Marengo, José A.,
%A Silva, Adan Juliano da,
%A Lyra, André de Arruda,
%A Tavares, Priscila da Silva,
%A Souza, Celia Regina de Gouveia,
%A Harari, Joseph,
%A Nunes, Lucí H.,
%A Greco, Roberto,
%A Hosokawa, Eduardo K.,
%A Aragão, Luiz Eduardo Oliveira e Cruz de,
%A Alves, Lincoln Muniz,
%B Climate change in Santos Brazil: projections, impacts and adaptation options
%@secondarytype PRE LI
%D 2019
%E Nunes, L. H.,
%E Greco, R.,
%E Marengo, J. A.,
%I Springer
%@secondarykey INPE--/
%K Santos · Climate projections · Dynamical downscaling · Extremeclimate indices · Storms.
%P 59-73
%T Projections of climate change in the coastal area of Santos
%X The objective of this work is to assess the projections of climate change in the city of Santos. The assessment is based on the downscaling of two global climate model simulations using the Eta Regional Climate Model at 20-km and 5-km resolutions, under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios for the period between 1961 and 2100. The higher horizontal resolution simulations reproduce in more detail the surface characteristics, such as the topography, vegetation cover, and coastline, and capture the extreme climate events. Evaluation of the model simulations of the present climate show reasonable agreement with observed climatology. Frequency distributions of precipitation and temperature values show that the 5-km run approaches the observed precipitation better than the 20-km resolution run. The assessment of climate change projections indicates that warming in the region reaches about 2 °C until the end of the twenty-first century, and that precipitation reduces in the entire region. Trends of climatic extreme indices show increase of hot days, warm nights, and in the length of consecutive dry days with the increase of the atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations. Projections of the minimum surface pressure off the coast of Southeast Brazil show weakening tendency under RCP8.5 scenario.
%@area MET
%@electronicmailaddress chou.chan@inpe.br
%@electronicmailaddress jose.marengo@cemaden.gov.br
%@electronicmailaddress
%@electronicmailaddress andre.lyra@inpe.br
%@electronicmailaddress priscila.tavares@inpe.br
%@electronicmailaddress
%@electronicmailaddress joharari@usp.br
%@electronicmailaddress luci@ige.unicamp.br
%@electronicmailaddress greco@ige.unicamp.br
%@electronicmailaddress eduardohosokawa@santos.sp.gov.br
%@electronicmailaddress laragao@dsr.inpe.br
%@electronicmailaddress lincoln.alves@inpe.br
%@documentstage not transferred
%@group DIDMD-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
%@group
%@group CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
%@group CGCPT-CGCPT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
%@group COCST-COCST-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
%@group
%@group
%@group
%@group
%@group
%@group DIDSR-CGOBT-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
%@group COCST-COCST-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR
%@dissemination BNDEPOSITOLEGAL
%@usergroup simone
%@isbn 978-331996535-2
%@isbn 978-331996534-5
%@nexthigherunit 8JMKD3MGPCW/3ER446E
%@nexthigherunit 8JMKD3MGPCW/3EUPEJL
%@nexthigherunit 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H
%@nexthigherunit 8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35
%@resumeid 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JGRQ
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
%@affiliation Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN)
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
%@affiliation Instituto de Geologia da Secretaria de Meio Ambiente do Estado de São Paulo
%@affiliation Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
%@affiliation Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
%@affiliation Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)
%@affiliation Secretaria de Desenvolvimento Urbano do Município de Santos
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
%@affiliation Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
%@versiontype publisher
%@holdercode {isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S}
%@doi 10.1007/978-3-319-96535-2_4
%2 sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2019/04.23.16.56.23